Do you think such a “double dip” scenario will end up taking place?

Sergio Miguez Martin, CAIA, the author of the September CAIA Member Poll, has been a CAIA member since 2006. He is a Co-Chair of the Iberia Chapter.

Markets’ current focus on the possibility of a "double-dip" for the US economy is increasingly causing the main financial assets to behave erratically throughout this year.

Yes, the likelihood is significant (in excess of 40%) and financial assets will deteriorate further
33%
Yes, a double dip will take place but markets have already discounted a great deal of it
12%
No, a double dip will not happen but markets will probably go on discounting an event like that for quite some time
39%
No, current deceleration is normal after a first more explosive rebound in growth coming from a recessionary period
16%