This paper provides the first systematic analysis of performance patterns for
emerging managers in the hedge fund industry. Emerging managers have
particularly strong financial incentives to create investment performance and,
because of their size, may be more nimble than established ones. Performance
measurement, however, needs to control for the usual biases afflicting hedge
fund databases. Backfill bias, in particular, is severe for this type of study.
After adjusting for such biases and using a novel event time approach, we find
strong evidence of outperformance during the first two to three years of
existence. Controlling for size, each additional year of age decreases
performance by 48 basis points, on average. Cross-sectionally, early performance
by individual managers is quite persistent, with early strong performance
lasting for up to five years.