CAIA Association’s 10 Lessons in Finance 2022 - Lesson 2: Investment and Risk Management Using Commodities
This webinar focused on commodities with an eye on risk management and financial gain. The coverage was as follows:
This webinar focused on commodities with an eye on risk management and financial gain. The coverage was as follows:
Authored by Aaron Filbeck, CAIA, CFA, CFP®, CIPM, FDP
So *awkward laugh*… how about that market? When it rains, it pours, and that’s exactly what has happened across the board in most public markets around the world this year. Even if we go down further, returns this year have been headline-worthy. In the U.S., a simple search of the term “60/40” brings up articles with an addendum of “faces worst year since 1936.” As the kids say these days … big yikes.
How can investment professionals meet their clients' needs under ever-changing economic and market conditions? We call future-proofed portfolios the Portfolio for the Future™. The five distinct marks of the Portfolio for the Future™ are the defining features of all-weather portfolios that meet the challenges of the global economy and capital markets. The 5 marks are – Broadly Diversified, Less Liquid, Rooted in a Fiduciary Mindset, Actively Engaged and Dependent on Operational Alpha.
Description: Developing reliable and intuitive interpretation is essential for the application of machine learning to investing. This presentation discussed a framework for decomposing any machine learning model into linear, nonlinear, and interaction effects that drive both prediction and performance.
This web seminar featured members of the CAIA Curriculum Team as well as Candidate Relations. The following topics were discussed:
- Curriculum Materials
- Exam Format
- Review of Exam Topics
- Available Resources
First Friday of each month, at 8:30 am ET, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases one of the most important macroeconomic indicators - the jobs report or non-farm payrolls (NFP) that makes headlines and moves financial markets worldwide. What is the value of knowing NFP 2 to 3 weeks in advance and 10% more accurately than the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Wall Street analysts? Instead of waiting months to know key economic concepts like the GDP, sophisticated investors are leveraging the science of nowcasting to open a clearer window into the future.
Session 1: Portfolio for the Future
Description: How can investment professionals meet their clients' needs under ever-changing economic and market conditions? We call future-proofed portfolios the Portfolio for the Future™. The five distinct marks of the Portfolio for the Future™ are the defining features of all-weather portfolios that meet the challenges of the global economy and capital markets. The 5 marks are – Broadly Diversified, Less Liquid, Rooted in a Fiduciary Mindset, Actively Engaged and Dependent on Operational Alpha.
Description: Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been a great buzzword in scientific and business communities and even the popular press. This webinar was designed to explore the technology underlying AI, known as “unsupervised learning.” Unsupervised learning allows us to hear the data speak for itself, reducing reliance on researchers’ potentially biased frameworks and sometimes discovering unexpected factors. In the course of the webinar, we considered AI applications in Finance and contrasted those with traditional machine learning (ML) models.
Description: Asset managers have struggled to apply machine learning to generate trading signals successfully. Instead, applying machine learning to determine the probability of profit of existing trading signals is very fruitful - this is Corrective AI. Taking this one step further, we developed Conditional Portfolio Optimization, a portfolio optimization technique that adapts to market regimes via machine learning. Applications on portfolios in vastly different markets suggest that CPO can outperform traditional optimization methods under varying market regimes.
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