November 2022: Where Are All the Opportunities?

Authored by Aaron Filbeck, CAIA, CFA, CFP®, CIPM, FDP

So *awkward laugh*… how about that market? When it rains, it pours, and that’s exactly what has happened across the board in most public markets around the world this year. Even if we go down further, returns this year have been headline-worthy. In the U.S., a simple search of the term “60/40” brings up articles with an addendum of “faces worst year since 1936.” As the kids say these days … big yikes.

 

CAIA Association’s 10 Lessons in Finance 2022 - Lesson 1: Portfolio for the Future

How can investment professionals meet their clients' needs under ever-changing economic and market conditions? We call future-proofed portfolios the Portfolio for the Future™. The five distinct marks of the Portfolio for the Future™ are the defining features of all-weather portfolios that meet the challenges of the global economy and capital markets. The 5 marks are – Broadly Diversified, Less Liquid, Rooted in a Fiduciary Mindset, Actively Engaged and Dependent on Operational Alpha.

Know Faster and Invest Better by Nowcasting Macroeconomic Indicators All Over the World

First Friday of each month, at 8:30 am ET, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases one of the most important macroeconomic indicators - the jobs report or non-farm payrolls (NFP) that makes headlines and moves financial markets worldwide. What is the value of knowing NFP 2 to 3 weeks in advance and 10% more accurately than the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Wall Street analysts? Instead of waiting months to know key economic concepts like the GDP, sophisticated investors are leveraging the science of nowcasting to open a clearer window into the future.

CAIA Association's 10 Lessons in Finance 2022

Session 1: Portfolio for the Future
Description:
 How can investment professionals meet their clients' needs under ever-changing economic and market conditions? We call future-proofed portfolios the Portfolio for the Future™. The five distinct marks of the Portfolio for the Future™ are the defining features of all-weather portfolios that meet the challenges of the global economy and capital markets. The 5 marks are – Broadly Diversified, Less Liquid, Rooted in a Fiduciary Mindset, Actively Engaged and Dependent on Operational Alpha.

Irene Aldridge Discusses Explainable AI: Exploring Unsupervised Learning

Description: Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been a great buzzword in scientific and business communities and even the popular press. This webinar was designed to explore the technology underlying AI, known as “unsupervised learning.” Unsupervised learning allows us to hear the data speak for itself, reducing reliance on researchers’ potentially biased frameworks and sometimes discovering unexpected factors. In the course of the webinar, we considered AI applications in Finance and contrasted those with traditional machine learning (ML) models.

Ernest Chan Discusses Corrective AI and Conditional Portfolio Optimization

Description: Asset managers have struggled to apply machine learning to generate trading signals successfully. Instead, applying machine learning to determine the probability of profit of existing trading signals is very fruitful - this is Corrective AI. Taking this one step further, we developed Conditional Portfolio Optimization, a portfolio optimization technique that adapts to market regimes via machine learning. Applications on portfolios in vastly different markets suggest that CPO can outperform traditional optimization methods under varying market regimes.

Katy Clymo, CAIA, Chapter Executive

Katy is the General Manager, Australian Institutional Distribution at Challenger, responsible for raising institutional capital for Challenger and Fidante’s specialist investment management partners covering fixed income, domestic and global equities and alternatives. Katy has 20 years of client service, relationship management and business development experience in the US, Asia and Australia.